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A CLOSER LOOK AT OUR TACTICAL POSITIONING TARGETS
Some Meeder Portfolio strategies utilize our Defensive Equity Strategy to determine what portion of the portfolio’s equity sleeve will be invested in the equity markets. The dynamic statistical model analyzes and ranks over 70 different factors from our short, intermediate, and long term models to estimate the potential reward and marketplace risk of the equity markets. When the model indicates that the risks of the stock market may be greater than its potential rewards, the portfolios can scale back their equity exposure.
October 12, 2026
QUICK TAKE
Although the S&P 500 has returned to all-time highs, constituent participation has been poor Nearly half of the index is in a long-term downtrend, with 50% of constituents trading below their 200-day moving average.
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey bulls moved above bears for the first time since July. Bullish sentiment remains well below the levels typically observed near market tops.
The S&P 500 is up 14.9% year-to-date, including a 2.1% gain over the past month and 0.5% this week. As a result, all trend signals remain positive.
Over the past three months, the VIX has declined 13% while the MOVE index has risen 27%. Equity markets are pricing in lower risk, while Treasury markets are signaling more uncertainty.
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This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or investment advice regarding the suitability of any portfolio for your particular circumstances. Portfolio allocation, opinions and forecasts regarding markets, securities, products, portfolios or holdings are given as of the date provided and are subject to change at any time.
Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss. All investments carry a certain amount of risk and there is no guarantee that any strategy will achieve its investment objective.
Investment advisory services provided by Meeder Asset Management, Inc.
